Entry title
- Pretty much everyone expects the prices to go up.
- Having backcasts may provide a strong signal to reduce confidence. Condition without backcasts.
- The story writing drastically improved the quality of the open-ended text.
Unexpected Observations
New Hypotheses
Current Protocol
Current Materials
New Data
Participant 1
- Participant remarked that lack of information made confidence low, and this low confidence made it difficult to generate a coherent explantion.
Participant 2
Faults
- Font too large.
- Complaint that there is not enough info to make the estimates.
- Confidence in stories is still very high.
- Cannot assess the accuracy of Story One.
- Felt unable to assess story One without data.
Corrections
- Reduce font size slightly
- Assure participants that their intuitive estimates are ok.
- Added to intro "You should draw on your own intuitions to make these estimates, as sometimes these intuitions are right."
|
Project name
Main project page
Previous entry Next entry
