Difference between revisions of "User:Alexander L. Davis/Notebook/Backdating/2013/04/02"

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|style="background-color: #EEE"|[[Image:owwnotebook_icon.png|128px]]<span style="font-size:22px;"> Project name</span>
 
|style="background-color: #EEE"|[[Image:owwnotebook_icon.png|128px]]<span style="font-size:22px;"> Project name</span>
|style="background-color: #F2F2F2" align="center"|<html><img src="/images/9/94/Report.png" border="0" /></html> [[{{#sub:{{FULLPAGENAME}}|0|-11}}|Main project page]]<br />{{#if:{{#lnpreventry:{{FULLPAGENAME}}}}|<html><img src="/images/c/c3/Resultset_previous.png" border="0" /></html>[[{{#lnpreventry:{{FULLPAGENAME}}}}{{!}}Previous entry]]<html>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</html>}}{{#if:{{#lnnextentry:{{FULLPAGENAME}}}}|[[{{#lnnextentry:{{FULLPAGENAME}}}}{{!}}Next entry]]<html><img src="/images/5/5c/Resultset_next.png" border="0" /></html>}}
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|style="background-color: #F2F2F2" align="center"|[[File:Report.png|frameless|link={{#sub:{{FULLPAGENAME}}|0|-11}}]][[{{#sub:{{FULLPAGENAME}}|0|-11}}|Main project page]]<br />{{#if:{{#lnpreventry:{{FULLPAGENAME}}}}|[[File:Resultset_previous.png|frameless|link={{#lnpreventry:{{FULLPAGENAME}}}}]][[{{#lnpreventry:{{FULLPAGENAME}}}}{{!}}Previous entry]]&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;}}{{#if:{{#lnnextentry:{{FULLPAGENAME}}}}|[[{{#lnnextentry:{{FULLPAGENAME}}}}{{!}}Next entry]][[File:Resultset_next.png|frameless|link={{#lnnextentry:{{FULLPAGENAME}}}}]]}}
 
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==Entry title==
 
==Entry title==
* Pretest 6
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* Pretest 6, 7, 8
  
 
==Comments==
 
==Comments==
* Coal Price Predictions (~72% up):
+
Total results including pretests 1-7 and pilot test 1:
 +
 
 +
* Coal Price Predictions (~78% up):
 
**Up predictions: 18
 
**Up predictions: 18
 
**Down predictions: 3  
 
**Down predictions: 3  
**No Change: 2
+
**No Change (NC): 2
*Incorrect Inflation Answers: 5/18 (28%)
+
*Incorrect Inflation Answers: 5/23 (~25%)
 +
*Bad Explanations: 12/23 (~50%)
 +
**Mentions inflation: 4
 +
**Just says supply and demand: 8
 +
*Increased confidence after UP/NC predictions: 11/19
 +
*Perfect confidence in explanation: 2/20
  
 
==Unexpected Observations==
 
==Unexpected Observations==
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* Suggested more difficult quality checking questions. Question One is definitely too easy.
 
* Suggested more difficult quality checking questions. Question One is definitely too easy.
 
* Suggested the second similarity question is unnecessary.
 
* Suggested the second similarity question is unnecessary.
 +
 +
===Participant 3===
 +
* Removed voice recording mention from risks.
 +
* Changed "sometimes intuition is right" to "use your intuitiona nd best judgment"
 +
* Suggested changing the 2005 U.S. dollars for inflation, but I disagree.
 +
* Added "You will be asked questions about your story later and it will be referred to as 'Your Story One'."
  
 
==Faults==
 
==Faults==

Latest revision as of 21:35, 26 September 2017

Owwnotebook icon.png Project name Report.pngMain project page
Resultset previous.pngPrevious entry      Next entryResultset next.png

Entry title

  • Pretest 6, 7, 8

Comments

Total results including pretests 1-7 and pilot test 1:

  • Coal Price Predictions (~78% up):
    • Up predictions: 18
    • Down predictions: 3
    • No Change (NC): 2
  • Incorrect Inflation Answers: 5/23 (~25%)
  • Bad Explanations: 12/23 (~50%)
    • Mentions inflation: 4
    • Just says supply and demand: 8
  • Increased confidence after UP/NC predictions: 11/19
  • Perfect confidence in explanation: 2/20

Unexpected Observations

  • Insert content here...

New Hypotheses

  • Insert content here...

Current Protocol

  • Insert content here...

Current Materials

  • Insert content here...

New Data

Participant 1

  • Favorable to big text.
  • Wanted information on desirable story length.
  • Suggested changing story to explanation.
  • Wanted it to be called "your story"
  • Wanted warning on how important/needed estimates would be.
  • Wanted uneditable boxes.
  • Wanted real coal prices on top of page rather than bottom.
  • Misunderstanding with prediction check.

Participant 2

  • Suggested more difficult quality checking questions. Question One is definitely too easy.
  • Suggested the second similarity question is unnecessary.

Participant 3

  • Removed voice recording mention from risks.
  • Changed "sometimes intuition is right" to "use your intuitiona nd best judgment"
  • Suggested changing the 2005 U.S. dollars for inflation, but I disagree.
  • Added "You will be asked questions about your story later and it will be referred to as 'Your Story One'."

Faults

  • Question checks too easy.
  • Boxes should be uneditable.

Corrections

  • Changed it to "your story"
  • Provided information about story length.
  • Made attention checks on a separate page. Made the last one more difficult.